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Gold Slides 1.7% in 48 Hours Amid Strong US Job Growth and Rising Dollar

In the global financial markets, spot gold experienced a downturn, sliding 0.13 percent to $1,933.85 per ounce by 9.13 am UAE time. This decline comes as the US private sector added an impressive 324,000 jobs in July, surpassing market expectations of approximately 200,000. The surge in employment was widespread across various sectors, indicating a potential boost to economic recovery.

Simultaneously, the US dollar index surged to a four-week high, showcasing increased demand for the American currency. Additionally, benchmark 10-year Treasury yields reached their highest level since November, indicating rising interest rates and impacting investors' risk appetite.

Daniel Dubrovsky, a contributing senior strategist at dailyFX, pointed out that the precious metal's value weakened by nearly 1.7 percent over the past 48 hours amid the favorable economic data and market conditions.

The strong job growth figures in the US have caught investors by surprise, leading to increased optimism about the country's economic recovery. The significant increase in jobs signals potential gains in consumer spending, business expansion, and overall economic growth. Consequently, this bullish sentiment has bolstered the US dollar, considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, as investors seek higher returns in the thriving US economy.

In addition to the robust jobs report, the surge in the US dollar index is also supported by the Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy. A stronger dollar has been favored by the central bank as it may help to keep inflation in check and provide stability in financial markets. Moreover, the rising Treasury yields reflect expectations of higher interest rates, making US government bonds more attractive to investors seeking better returns.

As a result of these developments, the precious metal market, represented by spot gold, has experienced downward pressure. Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty, and its demand typically rises during times of market volatility or currency depreciation. However, with the strong US economic data and a soaring dollar, investor appetite for gold as a safe-haven asset has waned.

Gold's retreat can also be attributed to its inverse relationship with the US dollar. When the dollar strengthens, the cost of gold in other currencies rises, leading to reduced demand in international markets. Additionally, higher Treasury yields and the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold have further contributed to the metal's recent decline.

Despite the recent downturn, the long-term outlook for gold remains subject to various factors. Geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and uncertainties in the global economic landscape can still influence gold's trajectory. Furthermore, central bank policies, especially concerning interest rates and inflation, will continue to be vital determinants of gold's performance.

In conclusion, the decline in spot gold by 1.7 percent in the past 48 hours can be attributed to the unexpected surge in US job additions, which surpassed market expectations. Coupled with a stronger US dollar and higher Treasury yields, these developments have diminished the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset and contributed to the metal's recent weakening. As the financial markets keep a close eye on economic indicators and central bank policies, gold's future performance remains uncertain, subject to ongoing global developments.

By: Doyal Arora

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